Description: Actuaries, like other business professionals, communicate quantitative ideas graphically. Because the process of reading, or decoding, graphs is more complex than reading text, graphs are vulnerable to many sources of abuse. This is the abstract of a paper that will help creators design more effective graphs and will help viewers recognize misleading graphs. The paper summarizes guidelines for designing graphs that show important numerical information and gives examples of commonly encountered graphs that mislead and hide information. The complete paper appears in the April 1998 issue of the North American Actuarial Journal. From Actuarial Research Clearing House 1998 Vol. 1.

Description: This study summarizes the results of the the Society of Actuaries' Non-Mortality Decrement Task Force data collection effort of plan turnover data for years 1994-2000. Service, by itself, seems not to be a good predictor of retirement. Service and age are each good predictors for termination it is found. The report is designed to offer actuaries information about turnover as it pertains to defined benefit plans.

Description: This paper develops credibility using a longitudinal data framework. In a longitudinal data framework, one might encounter data from a cross-section of risk classes towns with a history of insurance claims available for each risk class. For the marginal claims distributions, we use generalized linear models, an extension of linear regression that also encompasses Weibull and Gamma regressions. Copulas are used to model the dependencies over time specifically, this paper is the first to propose using a t-copula in the context of generalized linear models. The t-copula is the copula associated with the multivariate t-distribution like univariate t-distributions, it seems especially suitable for empirical work. Moreover, we show that the t-copula gives rise to easily computable predictive distributions that we use to generate credibility predictors. Like Bayesian methods, our copula credibility prediction methods allow us to provide an entire distribution of predicted claims, not just a point prediction.

Description: This Excel workbook contains the complete set of tables developed from the Society of Actuaries 2003 Pension Plan Termination and Retirement Study. Separate tabs are included for the Basic Age Table, Basic Service Table, Select & Ultimate Table, Small Plan Age Table, and Small Plan Service Table.

Description: This is the abstract for the paper on dependent multi-peril ratemaking models.

Description: This paper provides an overview of deductible ratemaking , and the pros and cons of various approaches under different parametric models are compared

Description: This Excel workbook contains the complete set of tables developed from the Society of Actuaries 2003 Pension Plan Termination and Retirement Study. Separate tabs are included for the Basic Age Table, Basic Service Table, Select & Ultimate Table, Small Plan Age Table, and Small Plan Service Table.

Description: The 1999 Technical Panel on Assumptions and Methods by Edward W. Frees from Pension Section News, March 2000, Issue No. 42.

Description: In this paper we use expectations of different random variables to define the notions of retrospective, prospective, individual, and aggregate net premiums for plans with contingent obligations.

Description: This is the abstract for the research paper on a hierarchial model for micro-level stochastic loss.